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Friday Offcuts – 11 December 2009

growing trees cutting and milling timber forest products
Yes. The news that's fixated the media - worldwide at the moment - well after reports of Tiger Wood's growing list of transgressions - is the gathering in Copenhagen. It's being billed as the largest and most important UN climate change conference in history. It opened on Monday, with organizers warning diplomats from 192 nations that this could be the best and last chance for a deal to protect the world from global warming. Expectations are running high that a coordinated international response to the challenges of climate change can be negotiated. That's the task facing the 15,000 delegates and officials (yes, that's the number - and this doesn't include the 5,000 journalists and 98 world leaders) that have gathered in the Danish capital this week.

Pre-Copenhagen negotiations have been drawn out. They've dragged on now for almost two years. Some continue to argue that international agreement is unnecessary given that just five nations - China, the US, Russia, India and Japan - are contributing 60 per cent of global greenhouse gas emissions. If they act and come to the party - emissions slow - otherwise we're all wasting our time. Stand by for media saturation of the Copenhagen gathering and agreements over the next week.

A reminder that early-bird registrations for the pan industry event, Future Forestry Finance 2010 being organised with a wide cross section of the forestry & finance industries and industry associations throughout Australia and New Zealand FINISH next week, on Friday 18 December. So, if planning on heading away on holiday early this year, click on www.forestryfinanceevents.com to access the early discounts before leaving for your break.

And finally, Friday Offcuts' last issue for 2009 will be next Friday. For those placing advertisements, either, a one week placement can be taken to finish on the 18 December 2009, or you can take advantage of longer than just the one week advertising with advertisements staying listed on the Friday Offcuts website over the Xmas break. The first issue for 2010 is scheduled to go out on Friday 15 January 2010. For more than one week's advertising taken out next week - a minimum of four weeks is going to be guaranteed.


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This week we have for you:

PaperlinX to exit Tasmanian manufacturing operations

PaperlinX Ltd on Monday announced that, following a comprehensive ten month review of the opportunities for its Tasmanian paper manufacturing operations it has decided to close its Wesley Vale operation and part of the operations at Burnie. It is continuing to explore a sale of the remaining operations at Burnie as an alternative to its complete closure. All approvals needed for this decision have been granted.
,br>On completion of this exit, PaperlinX will be solely a merchanting company, with businesses distributing paper, sign and display and graphics materials and industrial packaging to customers in Australia, New Zealand and Asia, Europe and North America.

The exit will occur in two stages, with the first expected to be completed by the end of March 2010, and the second expected to be completed by the end of June 2010. Stage 1 will involve the closure of the number 4 paper machine at Burnie (B4) and the number 11 and 12 machines at Wesley Vale (WV11 and WV12) by the end of March 2010. The Conversion Department of the Wesley Vale Mill will remain operational until all work in progress is converted (expected to take 4-6 weeks post closure of WV12). Actual closure dates will be determined following discussions with relevant stakeholders including customers.

Stage 2 will involve either the sale of the balance of the Burnie Mill, including the number 10 paper machine (B10) and converting operations, or closure, which is expected to complete by the end of June 2010. PaperlinX continues to explore the potential for a sale with discussions ongoing.

"The operations at Burnie and Wesley Vale are together currently substantially loss making and this level of loss, exacerbated by the current high Australian exchange rate and business configuration, is unsustainable" said PaperlinX Managing Director, Tom Park.

As a result of the closures approximately 252 Tas Paper jobs will be lost at the Wesley Vale and Burnie mills over coming months; while approximately 170 Tas Paper jobs will be maintained at Burnie pending the outcome of the sale discussions.



Finance Sector to gain insight into forestry's future

A pan-forest-industry conference in Sydney on 1-2nd March and again in Auckland on 4-5th March 2010 will focus on strengthening ties between the finance and forest products industries in Australasia. The global recession has forced many industries to review their attitudes to risk and industry growth. Meanwhile Australian and New Zealand forestry has prospered through 2009 through exports and now looks set to capitalise on improving business conditions for both domestic and export products.

Many of the countries that are key buyers of our wood exports are now rebounding from recession. Forestry is also poised to capitalise on potential new rules for the next Kyoto Protocol commitment period which could make for huge change and growth in this carbon-friendly industry.

"Forest products companies in both New Zealand and Australia have huge export opportunities in both bio-energy supplies and carbon credits - and finance company risk managers need to learn more about these", says conference organiser John Stulen of the Forest Industry Engineering Association.

"Finance and forestry industry leaders and executives will learn a lot from the collection of international forestry investment experts who will play a leading part in the conference series planned for early March 2010". More >>



Gunns completes acquisition of ITC Timber

Gunns Limited has completed the acquisition of ITC Timber Pty Ltd for AU$88.5m. This follows the announcement from the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission on 27 November 2009 that it will not oppose the revised proposed acquisition. The revised transaction excludes ITC Timber's 50 per cent interest in the Smartfibre woodchip venture.



New Scion bioenergy report released

Scion has recently released the fifth and final report under the three-year Bioenergy Options for NZ study. Transition Analysis considers the potential for energy supply of woody biomass from existing forests and drivers for change in NZ's energy supply. The earlier reports are: Bioenergy Options - Situation Analysis, Bioenergy Options - Pathway Analysis, Research and Development Strategy and Analysis of Large-scale Bioenergy from Forestry. The reports are available at: www.scionresearch.com



Forest nutrient levels using satellite technology

 
Advances in the use of satellite technology are allowing researchers to measure nutrient levels in Australia's forestry plantations more accurately. The use of remote sensing could also prove faster, cheaper and better from an occupational health and safety perspective than traditional methods, according to the findings of research on some Radiata pine plantations on the South Australian - Victorian border.

"We've moved a step closer to being able to provide forestry managers with practical tools to help them plan more effective fertiliser applications and research programs," says Dr Neil Sims, CSIRO remote sensing research scientist and co-author of the project report. "Radiata pine growth in southern Australia is often restricted by low soil fertility.

Currently, forestry companies spend more than $10m annually checking nutrient levels and applying fertilisers. However, field samples may not adequately represent the range and distribution of nutrient concentrations across the wider plantation. If fertiliser is applied where it is not required, valuable nutrients can be lost through run-off and other natural processes and can find their way into local waterways where they can lead to environmental problems, such as undesirable algal growth."

A FWPA funded project compared satellite image data with field measurements obtained from the same plantations. The project used hyperspectral satellite images to map concentrations of nitrogen, phosphorus, potassium, iron, zinc, copper and boron in radiata pine foliage and found the images could potentially provide accurate information across entire plantations.

"There is no other way to get data of this kind," says Sims. "You still need to collect and test some field samples to calibrate the satellite data, but the satellite data can be used to direct the field sampling to the most undernourished areas and will also tell you about any problem areas in between your sampling points." Potential cost savings are substantial: images used in the project cost around $0.09 per hectare of plantation compared to $2 to $5 per hectare for airborne images taken from a plane. HVP Plantations manager Stephen Elms concludes: "Remote sensing techniques have the potential to offer quicker and more comprehensive results than our standard field sampling practices." For copies of the report click here

Forestry establishment, fertiliser and spray application and advancements in plantation silviculture will provide the focus for next year's ForestTECH 2010 series which is being planned for New Zealand and Australian forestry managers and technical staff later in 2010. Further details will be sent out early next year. Source: Leading Edge



Chinese version of NZ Radiata pine manual now out

For those Kiwis travelling into or doing business in China, NZ Trade & Enterprise have just added a Chinese version on line of the excellent NZ Pine Manual. The 75 page well illustrated manual covers logs, lumber and other wood products and how radiata pine can be processed and finished. Check out the link or contact your local NZTE office for further information.



Japanese companies to close forest venture in Australia

Japanese papermakers Mitsubishi Paper Mills Ltd. and Hokuetsu Kishu Paper Co. will liquidate their seven-company forestry venture in Adelaide, Australia, Bloomberg reported 2 December. The Japanese companies and their partners, Mitsubishi Corp., Nippon Yusen KK, Aeon Co., Chubu Electric Power Co. and Tokyo Gas Co., will end the venture because of high land prices and restrictions on water use in the area, reported Bloomberg.

Mitsubishi Paper will book a
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Latest Australian Timber Market Survey report released

The latest issue of the Timber Market Survey (TMS) prepared by URS Forestry has been released. The TMS provides comprehensive information on timber price movements and market trends in Australia. The TMS report is published quarterly. It contains national price indexes for a range of timber products, as well as an update on economic conditions influencing wood product markets and the latest trade data. TMS price data are collected through quarterly surveys of a representative sample of timber market participants in eastern Australia.

The TMS reports for the March and September quarters contain pricing information for softwood timber, panel and engineered wood products. The June and December quarter reports also include hardwood timber products. Funding is provided by Forest and Wood Products Australia, Forests NSW, Timber Queensland, VicForests, HVP Plantations, Forestry Plantations Queensland, the Department of Environment and Resource Management Queensland, Forestry Tasmania, ForestrySA and the Forest Products Commission Western Australia.

To obtain a copy of the latest Timber Market Survey report, click here



33 million woolly walking stores of carbon?

 
While the Australian Emissions Trading Scheme remains in flux, the formation of the Australian-led Wool Carbon Alliance is intriguing New Zealand's fibre farmers.

'The Australians may be clutching at wool on the issue of wool carbon but we need to keep a watching brief on what the Australians are up to," says Bruce Wills, Federated Farmers Meat & Fibre chairperson.

"The Australians claim that carbon makes up to half of wool's composition and if true, it would represent a carbon store of 64,000 tonnes walking around New Zealand's farms right now." More >>



Future of NSW's red gum forests

 
The Institute of Foresters (IFA), with over 1350 members nationally has urged the NSW Natural Resources Commission (NRC), in its current review of NSW public Red gum forests, to take a pro-active management approach in addressing the declining health of the forests.

The NSW Premier's announcement last week to declare 42,077 hectares of the Millewa Group Red Gum Forests as National Park, makes a mockery of due process and consideration of the views of stakeholders. Many submissions have been made to the NRC, which was due to make its recommendations to Government on 21 December 2009.

The IFA deplores the announcement because the concept of savingthese forests by creating new National Parks flies in the face of scientific evidence about the interaction of future water flows and management of the number of trees per hectare to preserve a healthy forest. Expansive areas of the regrowth river red gum forest are dead or dying from a lack of water. If water supply to these forests continues to be inadequate many more red gum trees will die without active intervention.

The IFA is concerned that transferring the red gum forests into National Park will not achieve the desired conservation outcomes or restore the forests' health. The IFA promotes pro-active management so that regrowth forests under threat are thinned out and the remaining number of trees per hectare is reduced to a level which retains forest structure, but trees survive. Under National Park tenure there are no current provisions for thinning for timber. Forests reserved in National Park will not be permitted to be harvested and the dead trees that remain in the forest may be expected to become a serious fire hazard.

The IFA understands that timber supplies will need to reduce but the levels of reduction are largely dependent on the tenure of the forests and policy for future management. The IFA believes that retaining tenure for these forests which allows for timber harvesting and continuing timber supply at a level which meets the range of objectives, is a far better socio-economic and environmental outcome than the alternative of locking up the forests in National Park.



20% of Chairman's stock in Gunns offloaded

Chairman John Gay of Gunns Ltd offloaded 20% of his directly owned stock in the company during the first week of December, at a value of AU$3.09 million, the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) announced on 8 December after trading closed, The Examiner reported. It's reported that the sale was sending a poor sign to investors about the short-term future of the Tasmania-based company and its efforts in securing funds for its AU$2.5 billion Bell Bay pulp mill project. However, another purchase of Gunns stock a day earlier cast a positive light on the company's long-term future after value manager Investors Mutual Ltd. had bought 12.5 million shares in the past four months to become a substantial shareholder with a voting power of 5.21%.



Increased opportunities for CNI forest industry

A steady increase in regional wood availability will lead to new opportunities for the Central North Island (CNI) wood processing sector and the wider community say the authors of the latest wood availability forecast report.

The Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry this week released its CNI region Forest Industry and Wood Availability Forecasts Report, providing the economic and social context to the regions predicted increase in wood availability. A copy of the report can be found at: www.maf.govt.nz

The current annual harvest level is around 9 million cubic metres. Future wood availability is forecast to be around 12 to 13 million cubic metres per annum leading into the 2020's.

The Central North Island Forest Industry and Wood Availability Forecasts Report is one of a series of publications on regional forestry industries and wood availability forecasts produced by MAF. It provides wood availability forecasts and associated commentary for the region, out to 2040, and outlines opportunities and constraints facing the region's forest industries.



NZ log exports to China up 174% in first 9 months

In 2008, the Chinese wood products industry slowed from the rapid growth of the previous eight years. As the global economic recession deepened, Chinese wood product exports contracted significantly in 2008. However, the Chinese government introduced a US$730 billion economic aid package in late 2008 to stimulate domestic demand in lieu of exports, and maintain overall economic growth. By Q2/09, most wood product manufacturers were seeing stronger demand (due to growing domestic consumption), and began to increase output.

Increased wood products output for the domestic market strengthened demand for log and lumber imports by the second quarter of 2009. As a result, log imports, which were in major decline during 2008 (from 3.4 million m3 in March 2008 to 1.35 million m3 in January 2009) started to turn up again in February 2009; they have been on the rise into Q3/09.

The slump in Chinese wood product exports, in combination with significantly higher Russian log prices (caused by the 25% Russian log export tax), decreased Russian log imports from 25.3 million m3 in 2007 to 18.7 million m3 in 2008; only about 14.5 million m3 are expected in 2009. Lower Russian log imports have been offset mainly by a major increase in New Zealand radiata pine log imports (+174% in the first nine months of 2009).

Chinese lumber imports dropped briefly in the first quarter of 2009, but have since soared quickly to almost record levels to offset more expensive Russian logs. Total lumber imports in 2006 were 6.1 million m3 and are estimated at 9.5 million m3 in 2009 (+56%). In fact, Chinese exports have generally been rising since 2006; they only stumbled at the start of the global economic recession, but now are soaring.

As long as Russia maintains its current minimum Euro15/m3 log export tax, softwood lumber exports to China should continue to grow as Russian log exports to China decrease. The main beneficiaries of growing Chinese softwood lumber imports are likely to be Russia, Canada and some Southern Hemisphere radiata pine lumber exporters.

Source: International Wood Markets Group, www.woodmarkets.com



People on the move

On the 23rd of November, Romon Spiers was appointed General Manager of Flight Timbers Ltd in Marlborough, New Zealand. Departing GM Lochy Beckham has been with Flight Timbers for 21 years and prior to that spent 25 years at Pine Milling Co Ltd in Rotorua. He will continue with his directorship role in the company as well as becoming more involved in special projects and specific engineering aspects of Flight Timbers Ltd.


Shares soaring for Canadian forest firms

Shares of several of Canada's largest lumber exporters have skyrocketed in the past two months as new building codes in China allowing wood in construction have cracked open a previously inaccessible market for Canada's long-suffering forestry industry.
Since 1 October, shares in International Forest Products Ltd. have soared 58.3 per cent, while Canfor Corp. and West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. shares jumped 31.4 and 28.4 per cent, respectively.

The advances come in the wake of quiet implementation of new wood-frame construction codes in Shanghai in September. David Watt, a currency strategist with RBC Capital Markets, sees this development as a breakthrough for both the lumber industry and the Canadian dollar.




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...and one to end the week on...England's rugby woes

The All Blacks were playing England, and after the half-time whistle blew they found themselves ahead 50-0, Dan Carter getting eight tries.

The rest of the team decided to head for the pub instead of playing the second half, leaving Dan to go out on his own.

"No worries," Dan told them, "I'll join you later and tell you what happened." After the game Dan headed for the pub where he told his team mates the final score - 95-3.

"What!!!!," said a furious Graham Henry. "How did you let them get three points??!"

Dan replied apologetically: "I was sent off with 20 minutes to go."




And one more for you.


An Italian, an Irishman and a Chinese man are hired to work on a construction site. On the first day the foreman points to a huge pile of sand and says to the Italian, "You're in charge of sweeping". To the Scotsman he says, "You're in charge of shovelling". To the Chinese man he says, "You're in charge of supplies".

He then tells them he has to go somewhere and when he returns to hours later he finds the huge pile of sand untouched. "Why didn't you sweep any of it" he asks the Italian. "The Italian replies in a heavy accent, "I no gotta broom, an you tella me dat da Chinese a guy suppose bringa da supplies but he disappear and I no finda him".

The foreman turns then to the Scotsman and asks why he didn't shovel. "Aye, well I couldn't get meself a shovel. Ye left the Chinese fella in charge of supplies but I couldn'a find him". The foreman is furious and storms off looking for the Chinese fellow. He can't find him anywhere and is getting angrier by the minute. Suddenly the Chinese man jumps out from behind the pile of sand and yells,



"Supplies!!!"





And on that note, have a great weekend. Cheers.

Brent Apthorp
Innovatek
PO Box 904
Level Two, 2 Dowling Street
Dunedin, New Zealand
Ph: +64 3 470 1902
Fax: +64 3 470 1904
Web page: www.innovatek.co.nz


This week's extended issue, along with back issues, can be viewed at www.fridayoffcuts.com


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