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Friday Offcuts – 29 January 2010

growing trees cutting and milling timber forest products
As Copenhagen didn't deliver the sort of legally binding pact on climate change that the over 190 participating countries were after, it appears a true international carbon market now seems even further off than ever.

Clean energy project developers and climate change supporters were dealt another blow this week when U.S. Democrats lost their Senate supermajority, potentially killing a federal cap-and-trade scheme in the US for years to come. Any move after Copenhagen to stitch together any sort of international agreement (not a lot of faith is being put into the accord - a non-binding political agreement currently being worked on with nations asked to submit their goals to reduce planet-warming emissions by the end of this month) for reducing emissions just got a whole lot tougher.

Related to global warming and the impact on forestry companies, in this week's issue we profile a new documentary (that can be viewed on-line), "Carbon Hunters" that comes out of Canada which looks at carbon trading that has grown out of the global warming crisis, we detail how New Zealand forest owners are now moving to sell last year's carbon credits as NZUs start to flow into owners' accounts and some of the uncertainty that's now surrounding Australia's forestry carbon offsets.

Of course, we have the results from our short on-line Friday Offcuts poll on global warming that appeared in last week's issue. Although Copenhagen is now long dead in the water, the passion behind the issue certainly isn't. Check out this week's Letters to the Editor. The poll wasn't delving into the science behind whether global warming is "fact of fiction" but rather, the perception of the issue by our readers.

In the recent NZ Herald on-line poll, almost one in five Kiwi's that responded said the concept was a giant con, and a further 28 per cent said global warming had not been conclusively proved. The forestry community is even more sceptical - or at least those responding to the Friday Offcuts poll this week were. A significant 35% of respondents said the concept was all a big con and another 25% said global warming had not been conclusively proved. Interestingly, only a third of readers responding to the poll thought global warming was either the planet's biggest challenge just at the moment or at least a serious problem.


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This week we have for you:

Forest Products Commission looking to change direction

In a media release put out yesterday by the Minister for Forestry, Terry Redman, changes to the scope of activities carried out by the Forest Products Commission in Western Australia were announced.

The Forest Products Commission (FPC) will take on a redefined role and return to focusing on its core business of supplying wood to the forestry industry. As part of this redefinition, a taskforce has been established to look at the possibility of a sale of the fee-for-service and share-farming division of the FPC to the private sector. It was expected the taskforce would report back within the next two months.

Forestry Minister Terry Redman said the State Government was keen to look at ways to exit the current role it played in the areas of planting trees for carbon off-sets and investing in share-farming by growing trees on farms for the purposes of harvesting.

"Recent years have seen the private sector invest more and more in these areas. For this reason, the Government will be exploring ways it can transfer this work to the private sector and focus on its core role of supplying native hardwood, pine and sandalwood to our forest industries," Mr Redman said. "The sectors have now matured to a point where private companies are creating plantations on private land. It is inappropriate to have Government competing against private sector in this area".

"As we move forward with the investigation of a sale, consultation will occur with various groups including other Government departments, FPC staff and the private sector.Approximately 90 FPC staff are involved in these areas and have a huge wealth of resources and knowledge that could be very attractive to private investors. A sale option will be thoroughly investigated as an alternative to redeployments or voluntary redundancies."



Forest management resources now on-line

 
Because of continued requests for information relating to the recent ForestTECH 2009 series, ten key presentations that were given as part of the technology programmes in November last year have just been loaded onto the Technology Showcase and FIEA websites for use by the wider industry.

The independent two-yearly update of forest data collection, inventory and forest management planning tools out in the market place drew in around 200 forestry staff from throughout Australasia and North America. On the Technology showcase, some 300 presentations/papers have been added for use by forest products companies in this part of the world - making it one of the most up-to-date references on new and emerging forestry and wood products technologies on the web.

For those wanting a full set of proceedings on the programme - or want to check out some of the images collected as part of the series, please visit www.foresttechevents.com.

For ForestTECH 2010, plans are already underway at the moment on the November 2010 series which this year will be covering the other forest management themes; genetics and tree breeding, nursery technologies, land preparation, fertiliser and herbicide trials and application, plantation silviculture and fire fighting technologies.



New Zealand Log Prices - January 2010

For export log prices, in-market pricing for KS and KI logs have firmed US$1/JASm3 as some stability entered the markets through the recent holiday period. CFR rates for a KS and KI log are currently priced in at US$123/JASm3 and US$117/JASm3 respectively.

In China, there has been some government moves to wind back loan growth, but this has been countered by a pledge to demolish city slums and build more affordable low rent housing. For 2010, Chinese GDP is estimated to be up 9% and in Japan, log demand is expected to rise by 3%. India has reduced import duty on logs from 5% to 4% from the beginning of 2010. Meanwhile, Korea is continuing to show signs of stability.

Spot shipping rates have also stabilised to be in the region of US$46/JASm3. However, foreign exchange continues to be far from stable and recent upwards movement in the value of the New Zealand dollar has eaten into any gains made from the lifting in-market prices. The US dollar has again lost ground after the holiday period.

The New Zealand dollar fell prior to the holiday break to trade around US$0.70 but poor data has caused US interest rates to fall back, discouraging investment in the US currency. This has seen the New Zealand dollar rise 5% since the start of the year to be within 1% of its levels of December 2009.

The Baltic Dry Index appears to have stabilised from its December 2009 decline to be at 3299. This value is slightly above its level at the start of the year but is somewhat lower than last months' level of 3530.The conclusion of the Copenhagen talks saw very few achievements from those countries with agendas.

The NZX Agrifax Combined Log Price Index, which measures returns from the whole forest, has lifted above NZ$77/T for the first time in a year. The index was last above this value in January 2009 when it was at NZ$78/T, which was the peak for the year. The minimum value in 2009 for this index was reached in June, where it was at NZ$72/T.

Log price changes:
North Island:

  • Domestic: Pruned prices are stable. Unpruned prices are mostly firm.
  • Export: Grades are up $1-$3/T. Pulp log prices are mostly stable.

    South Island:
  • Domestic: Pruned prices are steady. Unpruned prices are steady.
  • Export: Prices are firm. Pulp log prices are stable.

    For more detailed reports contact Agri-Fax at: www.agri-fax.co.nz/enquiries.cfm



    Credit-rich foresters looking for buyers

    New Zealand forest owners are moving to sell last year's carbon credits as NZUs start to flow into owners' accounts. Owners who have lodged claims for last year's credits started receiving their allocations this week. At least two significant forest owners - Malaysian-owned Ernslaw One and Dunedin City Council-owned City Forests - are preparing sales, and industry sources say that other forward deals have been done.

    OMFinancial has reported that there have been about a million trades of New Zealand credits over the past week. To receive credits for last year, forest owners must lodge returns between January 1 and March 31. So far this year 30 returns have been lodged with the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry, compared to 45 for the whole period last year.

    Source: Carbon News 2010



    New US$22 million campaign to prevent forest fires

    The Chilean Agriculture Ministry and the National Forestry Corporation has launched a new campaign that seeks to educate the Chilean population on how to avoid forest fires. According to the Agriculture Minister, Marigen Hornkohl, 99.9 percent of forest fires in Chile are caused by people. The Government, therefore, will be investing US$22 million in this new campaign, an 11,8 % increase in funds from last year's anti-forest fire campaign. Chile has suffered approximately 6,166 fires over the past 10 years, which have destroyed more than 44,551 hectares across the country.



    World's largest pellet factory planned in U.S.

    RWE Innogy is to build a factory to produce biomass pellets in the southern part of the U.S. state of Georgia. The plant will have an annual production capacity of 750,000 tonnes, making it the biggest and most modern of its type in the world, the company says. Around 1.5 million metric tonnes of fresh wood are needed each year to produce 750,000 tonnes of pellets.

    Carried out in collaboration with BMC Management AB, which specialises in the development of biomass manufacturing solutions and is based in Sweden, the total investment in the project is some Euro 20 million. The pellets are to be shipped to Europe from the port of Savannah. Pellets manufactured in the facility will initially be burnt in the existing power plants of Amer in the Netherlands, where currently already up to 30% of the hard coal has been replaced by solid biomass, mainly wood pellets. There are plans to expand the proportion of co-firing to up to 50%.

    In the coming years, use of the pellets is to be extended to other pure biomass power plants and also to conventional power plant sites in the Netherlands, Germany, Italy and the UK. Dr. Leonhard Birnbaum, board member of RWE AG said: "Through this investment, RWE has taken a strategically important step towards safeguarding the supply basis for the constantly growing biomass market in Europe. This is because we will be unable to achieve the targets for reducing CO2 emissions in Germany and Europe without biomass. But the European wood market will not be able to satisfy the demand in this fast growing sector on its own."

    Source: RenewableEnergyWorld.com



    Global carbon trade profiled in new documentary

    ""Carbon Hunters" is a new documentary by Vancouver Sun columnist Miro Cernetig about the carbon trade that has grown out of the global warming crisis. The film premiered on November 26, 2009 on CBC-TV. The promo for the show says that:

    "Carbon Hunters delves into the controversial, little-understood, yet booming industry of carbon credit trading as a potentially workable mechanism towards solving what most people now acknowledge as the greatest crisis facing the planet: global warming.

    Filmmaker Miro Cernetig travels from BC to the Canadian prairie, and on to India, Philippines, Hollywood, Chicago, London and New York to find answers, linking seemingly disparate elements like the dung of sacred cows in India, the band Coldplay, Alberta wheat farmers, movie star Cameron Diaz, Filipino garbage scavengers, U.S. President Barack Obama, sea algae, the Assembly of First Nations in Canada, an English funeral director, the Amazon rain forest, and the Alberta Tar Sands.

    Watch it online at www.cbc.ca/documentaries.

    Source: Biofiberbusiness

    "
    Comment on this article...    


    NZ's sawmilling consolidation nears completion

     
    The New Zealand sawmilling industry has endured a major ongoing consolidation over the last decade. Most global sawmilling sectors have suffered closures and consolidation, but probably not on the acute scale experienced in New Zealand. A new DANA Review of the N.Z. industry identifies more than 30 sawmills which have closed since 2003, reducing annual log demand by 2.4 million cubic metres (almost 15% of recent sawlog harvest) and lumber output by 1.2 million cubic meters.

    Closures accounted for around 25% of the total number of "industrial" sawmills operating in 2003. Particularly hard hit was the structural lumber sector, producing for the N.Z/Australian housing market; and mills focussed on cutting Mldg. & Btr. lumber for the USA.

    New Zealand's richest man, Graeme Hart (Rank Group) closed four structural sawmills; including one which he paid a lot of money for, just so he could immediately close it down. However, his moves have actually helped the sector remove a chronic lumber oversupply, and in 2010 have enabled him (and others) to force through the first decent lumber price increases in years.

    The USA Mldg. & Btr. lumber grade market became the sizzle market of the 1990s. Forest owners and sawmillers both expected dazzling returns from pruned logs, and from subsequent knot free lumber destined for the USA market. Alas the market has faded in both volume and price terms for almost a decade, and is unlikely to recover for many years, if ever.

    New Zealand exports of lumber to the USA have fallen from almost 550,000 cubic metres at its peak in 2002, to less than 170,000 cubic metres in 2009; a reduction of 70%. Imports into the USA are down almost 30% in 2009 alone. No wonder several sawmillers gave up the ghost on this market.

    In contrast to the 32 mill closures, there have been two new mills that have opened since 2003: one a tiny mill and one a large mill based on imported second hand equipment. Lumber markets have finally strengthened in early- 2010. If price increases stick, and the NZ FX behaves itself, perhaps this massive consolidation is nearing an end.

    Source: 2010 New Zealand Forest Products Industry Review, www.dana.co.nz



    New biomass pellet plant being constructed in Australia

    Plantation Energy Australia has announced it is constructing a AU$25 million wood pellet plant at Wandilo, near Mount Gambier in South Australia, with production expected to begin in March 2010. It is estimated that AU$40 million will be injected into the local economy annually. Approval for their second project (the first one is near Albany, WA) follows Plantation Energy signing a AU$70 million export agreement with Belgium's Electrabel with the aim of producing up to 500,000 tonnes of wood pellets per year at its South Australian plant.

    Source: Bioenergy Australia Newsletter January 2010



    Top 10 worst attempts at cutting down a tree

    I don't know what it is about idiots and cutting down trees, but for some reason they never remember to expect the worst. I guess I should cut them some slack, though. Sometimes there are so many worst case scenarios, it's got to be impossible to remember them all. The tree could fall on you, on your house, on a neighbour's house, on your car, someone else's car. If you're climbing up the tree, you could fall out of it. The possibilities are endless, but that doesn't change the fact that only one of them is good. That one doesn't happen in any of these videos.

    Click here to see videos

    Source: Tree Frog Daily Forestry News



    Uncertainty with Australia's forestry carbon offsets

    Australia's forest industry is facing widespread regulatory uncertainty as the country's Greenhouse Friendly program moves toward expiration on 30 June. It's not clear whether Parliament will pass related programmes by that date, The Sydney Morning Herald has reported.

    Greenhouse Friendly would be superseded by the Government's centerpiece green policy, the Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme, and replaced by a new national carbon offset standard. When Greenhouse Friendly goes, so will any national, government-backed method of accrediting forestry carbon offsets. A spokesperson for Climate Change Minister Penny Wong said the government is working through the national carbon offset standard with stakeholders.

    The lack of a programme means no carbon offset standard and no Greenhouse Friendly programme, creating a regulatory vacuum for such non-profit tree-planting organizations as Greenfleet and others. The government's repeatedly delayed reduction plan has created confusion among participants in the voluntary carbon market. Regulations governing forestry will likely not be released until after the legislation goes to the Senate next week, the Herald reported.

    Source: www.forestweb.com



    Methyl Bromide ban needed now

    The NZ Council of Trade Unions is calling for the use of methyl bromide to be completely banned in New Zealand as evidence mounts that it puts worker health and safety at serious risk. Methyl bromide is used for the pre-export fumigation of logs.

    Professor Ian Shaw, toxicologist and Pro-Vice-Chancellor at the University of Canterbury, asserts that methyl bromide may have caused motor neurone disease in Nelson port workers after a cluster of deaths from the disease (see New Zealand Herald, Monday 25 January). Nelsons port population has suffered a rate of motor neuron disease 25 times the international average. More >>


    Will US programme increase the supply of woody biomass?

     
    The Biomass Crop Assistance Program (BCAP), a new federal program in the US that is intended to increase the usage of renewable energy by covering some of the costs related to the collection of woody biomass and agricultural residues, has been in effect for a few months and has created much interest, as well as confusion, within the forest industry, reports the North American Wood Fibre Review.

    As of 15 December, it had not yet been determined how much funding the program could have for 2010. So far, US$517 million has been allocated for the period 1 January through 31 March 31 2010.

    There have been loud protests from both North American and European forest industry organisations who are concerned that the BCAP program will unfairly favour US energy companies and that sawdust and wood chip costs will go up as the result of the programme.

    With the first payments from the government having been distributed in mid December, it is still too early to conclude how much the biomass energy subsidy will impact prices for wood chips, shavings, sawdust and hog fuel in the coming months.

    The BCAP programme is available for producers/sellers of biomass for a period of two years, and both the seller and the conversion facility have to apply to participate in the programme. As of 15 December 2009, 306 conversion facilities had qualified.

    At this point, it seems unlikely that the BCAP program will have anything near the impact that the black liquor tax credit has had (an estimated 8-9 billion dollars was transferred to the US pulp industry).

    It may very well be that in the end, the BCAP program will not add as much biomass to the market as was intended. In fact, most of the biomass supply that will enter the market in the coming years would likely have been available even without the subsidy. The only difference is that biomass consumer may benefit from lower fiber costs and suppliers will increase their profits from the sales of forest and agricultural residues.

    Source: Wood Resources International LLC, www.woodprices.com



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    ...and one to end the week on...the broken lawn mower

    Marriage is a relationship in which one person is always right and the other is usually the husband. When our lawn mower broke and wouldn't run, my wife kept hinting to me that I should get it fixed. But somehow I always had something else to take care of first: the truck, the car, e-mail, fishing, always something more important to me. Finally she thought of a clever way to make her point.

    When I arrived home one day, I found her seated in the tall grass, busily snipping away with a tiny pair of sewing scissors. I watched silently for a short time and then went into the house. I was gone only a few minutes. When I came out again I handed her a toothbrush. 'When you finish cutting the grass,' I said, 'you might as well sweep the driveway.

    The doctors say I will walk again, but I'll always have a limp.


    And on that note, have a great weekend. Cheers.

    Brent Apthorp
    Innovatek
    PO Box 904
    Level Two, 2 Dowling Street
    Dunedin, New Zealand
    Ph: +64 3 470 1902
    Fax: +64 3 470 1904
    Web page: www.innovatek.co.nz


    This week's extended issue, along with back issues, can be viewed at www.fridayoffcuts.com


    We welcome comments and contributions on Friday Offcuts. For details on advertising for positions within the forest products industry or for products and services, either within the weekly newsletter or on this web page, please contact us.

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